Track 4 · The House · lesson 4
Lending creates deposits
13 min
Track 4 · The House · lesson 4
13 min
You are granted a mortgage of 240,000. The bank types a number into your account. Where did the money come from?
The usual answer — from someone else's savings — is wrong in a specific and interesting way. Nobody's balance went down. The bank wrote two entries: a loan of 240,000 owed by you, and a deposit of 240,000 owed to you. Both are new. Neither existed on Monday.
When a bank lends, it does not move existing money from a saver to a borrower. It creates a deposit and an equal debt at the same moment.
The deposit is money — you can spend it, and the seller of the house accepts it as final payment. The debt is not money; it is an obligation that will be extinguished over twenty-five years.
So the act of lending increases the amount of money in the world, and the act of repaying reduces it. Most of the money in a modern economy was not printed by anyone. It was lent into existence, and it disappears again when the loan is repaid.
Before the loan, the bank's books have deposits on one side and loans and reserves on the other. After the loan:
Bank's assets Bank's liabilities
Loan to you +240,000 Your deposit +240,000
That is the whole event. The two new entries are equal and opposite, so the bank is no richer for having made them — its assets and its liabilities both grew by the same amount. What it has acquired is a future income stream, and what it has taken on is a promise to honour a deposit it created out of a keystroke.
Predict
Profitability. A loan has to be worth making. If borrowers who will repay cannot be found at a rate that covers funding, costs and losses, the bank stops lending, and this is what happens in most downturns.
Capital. Regulators require the bank's owners to have their own money behind each loan, in proportion to how risky the loan is. Capital is expensive and finite, and it is the binding constraint in normal times.
Reserves and settlement. As above: created deposits leave, and settling costs central bank money.
Demand. Somebody has to want to borrow. Central banks have discovered repeatedly that they can make credit cheap and available and nothing happens, because nobody wants a loan.
Something people say
“Banks lend out your deposits.”
Which part of the everyday version is doing the damage?
The accounting above is not controversial. Central banks publish it. What is genuinely argued about is what follows from it.
Two readings
Banks lend when creditworthy borrowers want to borrow, and policy works mainly by changing that demand.
Banks' willingness to lend expands and contracts on its own, and that cycle drives asset prices and the economy with it.
Both sides accept
Both accept the accounting: a new loan creates a new deposit, and repayment destroys it. Both accept that credit expands faster than income in booms. The argument is about which side of the transaction is doing the driving, and therefore which lever a policymaker should reach for.
Who pays. The borrower, in interest, for money that did not exist before the loan. And everybody holding the currency, a little, because more claims on the same output is what inflation is made of — though the effect is far smaller and slower than the mechanism makes it sound, since repayment destroys money at roughly the rate lending creates it.
Who benefits. The borrower, who gets a house now instead of in thirty years. The bank, on the spread. And an economy that can build things before it has saved for them, which is not a small thing — it is most of what separates a developed economy from one where you must have the whole sum in advance.
Who carries the risk. The bank first, and then, when enough loans go bad at once, the deposit protection scheme, the central bank and the state behind it. This is the mechanism by which private lending decisions become public liabilities, and it is why the people who make those decisions are supervised.